The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration- Davao (PAGASA-Davao) has urged Davao City residents, especially those in flood and landslide-prone communities, to brace for more frequent rains as La Niña continues to affect Mindanao.
PAGASA Davao Chief Meteorological Officer Lolita Vinalay said La Niña remains firmly in place, with a 77% probability of persisting from October to December and lasting until February 2026.
Vinalay added that this increases the likelihood of heavy and continuous rainfall across the region, including Davao City.
Vinalay stressed that while the eastern provinces of Davao de Oro and Davao Oriental face higher exposure to weather systems from the Pacific, Davao City is also vulnerable, particularly communities near river channels, creeks, and sloping terrain.
“Dito naman sa Davao City, paghandaan din natin yung mga pag-ulan because may La Niña condition tayo until February next year,” she said.
She also noted that neutral conditions are expected to return after February.
Vinalay explained that the ongoing Amihan (Northeast Monsoon), combined with shearline formation and easterlies, will further intensify rainfall episodes in the coming weeks.
She said even without a low-pressure area (LPA) or a tropical cyclone entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility, sudden weather shifts remain possible.
She urged residents to stay alert and comply with advisories from local Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) offices, especially as colder Amihan winds can push disturbances toward Mindanao.
Vinalay also reminded the public that DOST-PAGASA continues to issue timely advisories to help communities mitigate risks during the prolonged rainy period.
